Vance and Rubio, the next president and vice president of the United States? The Permanent Contrarian’s view on living life, career and financial freedom.

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I think the 48th president of the United States has a higher probability of being a Republican than being a Democrat. Putting all partisanship aside, at this point, the Republicans are too talented and organized to be displaced out of the presidency. The world has changed dramatically, when people compare the economic growth of the red states versus that of the blue states, the trajectory can’t be anymore different. Yes, the Democrat’s  base on the coasts do generate significant more GDP, however, the wealthy, most of them leaning GOP, along with their companies generate much of the economic growth and pay most of the revenues the government collect. The country needs serious leaders who can create policy continuities against enemies and nemesis foreign and domestic while also working with transitory allies. 

Yes, the current president does use a lot of no name/non-Ivy Plus temps, however, his core cabinets members are almost all top ten-ers including Vance, Hegseth and Bessent. Ted Cruz is another s-tier Ivy Leaguer. Rubio, although not an Ivy Leaguer, is very much at elite levels when everything is considered from a comparable standpoint. He is essentially an elite within a given range of comparisons when the macro factors are assessed. Realistically, Rubio holds the Florida card in any presidential race especially that special swing vote from a certain demographic group(s). For that I believe most likely Rubio will probably be the most suitable vice president candidate in the next election. As long as Vance continue to follow the current policies from certain someone, he will most likely get the base and young people’s votes. 

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Vance and Rubio, the next president and vice president of the United States.

When you look at the possible candidates the Democrats can field, they are either seen as inexperienced, incompetent, polarizing and/or all of the above. I think the Republicans have a greater than 53% chance of keeping control of Congress with razor-thin margins in not the Senate and the House with a 5% margin of error. High inflation has been mostly controlled and GDP growth is healthy. When you combine the donations, the momentum and experience with incumbency plus star power from a certain sitting president, likely maintaining control to Congress, lower inflation and healthy economy, you come to realize literally everything is going in the Republicans’ favor. If Vance and Rubio become the Republicans nominees for US president and vice president respectively, I think they will likely maintain similar electoral vote results as the sitting president did in 2024. The Democrats at this point can’t win on the economic argument. Yes, they can point to the Iran War, however, the bigger war, Ukraine War was started during Biden’s administration. 

The Iran War also has almost no boots on the ground. The US is now in a much more dangerous world than immediately after the Soviet Union’s collapse. If Rubio can get a significant number of Hispanic Democrat and Independent voters to vote Republican in 2028, Vance and Rubio will likely win. What almost no one talks about is the fact that there is almost zero chance Caucasian women will be unified enough to vote for a non-Caucasian woman before a Caucasian woman. This also goes for Caucasian women’s “allies” if you know what I mean. There are probably other groups of “allies” who feel the same way in a different context. Based on this, you can probably see which candidates probably have no chance to becoming president at this stage of the game. Unfortunately, this pretty much means the Democrats likely won’t win the 2028 presidential election. The reality is, regardless of your opinions about the sitting president, he got a lot of stuff done that his non-major war, peace time predecessors were unwilling and unable to accomplish. For all the talks of “mixed results,” the sitting present’s tariffs have changed behaviors. These measures weakened the biggest adversary at a time they could least afford it with more and more coming. 

For all the hooting and hollering, one by one, America’s enemies and the enemies of the free world are either no longer threats or have become partners. Those that are resisting are only doing so to save face with their “allies” unable to help in any way. Many manufacturing jobs are coming back to the US with the most advanced semiconductor fabs operating in the US that its adversary could only dream of. Even the jobs that didn’t comeback have now been at least particularly near-shored or moved to a third country that is not of America’s adversary.  The US is now securing or in the process of securing everything that it couldn’t do on its own and likely will be able to operate every single industry/subindustry/process on its own territory. While America’s adversary is limiting inflow and outflow of people from its borders, America is able to continue to attract the world’s best and maintaining its way of life. I think the voters will probably remember those things and the good economy rather than the he/him, s/her and the other pronouns at least for now.