Taiwan independence, Dalai Lama’s Tibet, Ukraine war, underground cities and India becoming the preeminent Asian superpower? The Permanent Contrarian’s view on geopolitics. 

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Let’s make a few things clear. India had always been a super power in Asia throughout its history. In fact, the main motivation for the Europeans during the Age of Discovery was to find a faster route to India. The aftermath of this is the discovery of America proving India’s undeniable influence in the history of the world. India also determines the future of America’s number one enemy. The Giant Lizard people will not be able to conquer the land of the Majestic Divine Elephants due to the divine Himalayas and Modi’s renaissance in Shangri-La. Under Modi, India is building up its infrastructure everywhere including its borders, expanding its economy sectors in tech/manufacturing/medicine/military, becoming a major cultural and political influence on the world stage, creating a more conducive environment for business and rule of law etc. 

Gone are the “Bhai-Bhai” appeasement, in with a strong and independent India that masters the string of pearls while protecting its neck. India developed slowly under democratic rules but was always given the time to become who it will become due to its geography. India cannot be constructively defeated anytime this century by the Giant Lizard people but will always be the balancer that can choke off Tibet and Eastern Turkestan threatening the Giant Lizard people’s inland “mega cities” and its lifeblood gorges and dams. Many people do not realize what the Arctic Bear war against war means for the geopolitics in Asia. The Giant Lizard people have no choice but to support the Arctic Bear’s war against Ukraine because if the Arctic Bear loses and NATO expands, NATO will be in Asia. The Giant Lizard is also supporting Iran and its other client state in Asia. The Giant Lizard is also spending increasingly more on their military and even more on their internal securities to prevent rebellion from their own people especially their elites.

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Taiwan independence, Dalai Lama’s Tibet, Ukraine war, underground cities and India becoming the preeminent Asian superpower.

They have never been a true predominate mostly homogeneous group and in reality they combine ethnicities from North, South and West who are completely different races and ethnicities and lumped them all together into one single “unified” group. They not only do not speak the same languages and do not look alike, they are also genetically significantly different that belong to different countries all together with their close relatives literally establishing their own countries in East Asia, Southeast Asia and Central Asia. They are doing all this while its economy is falling apart and its people are unemployed at around 40% even so most are at a subsistence level and very few are having children with their population projected to decline by hundreds of millions by century end. A desperate and inward looking Arctic Bear and Giant Lizard will likely cannibalize themselves when sanctions shuts down outside economic activities for them. Its richest and brightest have mostly left and those that stayed for various self-centered reasons are likely only there physical but are no longer there mentally and spiritually in a land where disappearances are so common that no one even knows about it. 

Dalai Lama is one of the most important people in India because he is mostly the spiritual leader of all Tibetans and an inspiration for many around the world. He will be able to select the next Dalai Lama which not only annoys the Giant Lizard people but also present extreme challenges in the long-term for its occupation of the region. Many experts believe Taiwan will not declare independence anytime soon. I believe it will likely declare independence within a few decades. Its extremely difficult for anyone to invade Taiwan and occupy it never mind a nation that is at least a few decades away from confidently doing so and might have to fight against the support of Taiwan’s potential treaty allies. The Giant Lizard government will likely have internal revolt as soon as it gets into a prolonged conflict and it knows it. The only thing that is truly keeping Taiwan from declaring independence now is the United States’ lack of explicit support for Taiwan to do so. 

Taiwan is practically a mountainous turtle shell porcupine that can turn into robust urban warfare situation real quick with just drones, tunnels and javelins. Most of their beaches are literally not suitable for large scale landings and the very few that are suitable are only landable a few month in a year. The Giant Lizards have these underground cities and tunnels capable of hiding their comrades and missiles are already extensively mapped out including their escape routes for its leadership. None of their oligarchs will likely be able to escape now and once their new arbitrary exit ban laws are fully implemented within the normal five to ten year time frame, no one will be able to leave its borders especially their elites”talents” causing more isolation and truly becoming a pariah state that talents don’t develop, money don’t flow into and obstacles everywhere that prevent them from developing into their aspirations.